Congress votes today on the Government’s deficit path, the first step in preparing the Budgets. However, in a Lower House accustomed to heart-stopping negotiations and agreements on the horn, this issue hardly holds any tension anymore. Everyone, including the Government, considers the vote lost. Moncloa does not have the support, it assumes it, and, most strikingly, it does not even make an effort to pretend that it is looking for it.
Currently, the Government can count on the fact that the deficit path will receive 171 guaranteed votes against, those of the PP, Vox and UPN. Although Together He has not yet announced the final meaning of his vote, in the last few hours he has been telling the press that it is the same path as in 2024 and that, therefore, they will vote exactly the same as then. That is, against.
This places a scenario with 178 votes against, absolutely insurmountable for the Executive, which could also lose another vote if José Luis Ábalos goes to prison and cannot cast his own. Sources from Moncloa confirm that they already consider the vote lost due to Junts’ position and comment that they will look with curiosity, although little because nothing will change, what the other parliamentary groups will do.
Because it is unknown, for example, what the meaning of the Canarian Coalition’s vote will be, and its deputy, Cristina Validowas very harsh yesterday with Pedro Sánchez during the Government control session. What is known is that Can announced on Tuesday that she would abstain and the Compromís deputy Agueda Micó He also said that he would not vote in favor, although without clarifying whether it would be against or abstention.
The fact that the Government is being unable to recompose the investiture majority demonstrates the decomposition of the bloc, because it is not only that Junts has declared itself in rebellion, it is that they are not even able to gather the support of their left-wing partners.
A possibility of saving the vote could have been generated if Junts abstained. In that case, the Executive could have tried to convince Podemos, the Canarian Coalition and Micó to vote in favor, which, with Ábalos’ vote, could have moved forward. However, sources from all these parties confirmed that Moncloa had not even contacted them to try to convince them to vote in favor. Who knows if because everything is already considered lost, or because a strategy is being carried out to use the votes against in a future electoral campaign.