The next appointment with the polls will be in Andalusia. The president, Juanma Moreno, has not yet decided the day he will take the ballot boxes to the streets. But he PSOEalready working on a campaign in which Moncloa You won’t be able to interfere as much as you would like. Socialist sources consulted by this newspaper explain that the party in Andalusia “is too important” for the president’s team to be able to do and undo as it pleases.
The Andalusian federation has told Ferraz and Moncloa that it does not want a key campaign national. Although they understand that, inevitably, national politics will end up leaking, the party wants to attack the management of Juanma Moreno and move away, as far as possible, from Madrid. These sources explain that the regionalism Andalusia weighs too much to carry the “No to war” there.
The truth is that the candidate, María Jesús Montero, has it difficult. «United Left is going to make it difficult for the PSOE. Not only because they have a strong presence there, but because the candidate (Antonio Maíllo) is powerful. Furthermore, Juanma Moreno has the party immersed in uncertainty total because it will be he, when he calls, who will decide when Montero leaves the Government,” comments a prominent socialist. As this newspaper reported, the socialist leadership is aware that in Castilla y León they were able to steal votes from their left. But in Andalusia “it will be almost impossible».
Andalusian socialism, furthermore, is notably upset with Sanchezbecause he considers that Montero should be “for a long time” alone in Andalusia, attached to the territory. And, for the moment, her obligations as vice president prevent her from dedicating herself 100% to her land. What’s more, in the PSOE they fear that Juanma Moreno will call as late as possible to make it difficult for her to spend the fair in the costume of candidate.
However, in Moncloa they fear that the experience of the campaign in Aragon. «Pilar (Alegría) also did not want a campaign with a national focus. “She preferred to beat herself town by town,” explains a source from the socialist leadership. But, in the end, the hard core of Moncloa had to disembark to try to reverse some polls that ended up confirming the hecatomb of the party. The former socialist minister repeated the historical ground to which former president Javier Lambán descended in his day, although with the enormous difference that then the left of the PSOE was much stronger.
Now the wave is right. Lambán was able to form a government and Alegría is in the opposition. In any case, a good part of the PSOE is suspicious of some of the strategists party campaign. Minister Óscar López and his “number two” in the ministry, Antonio Hernando, are two of those in charge of planning the socialist campaign strategy. They both know that each community is a different game.
But Andalusia is, in part, a trauma for the PSOE, because it has not yet recovered from the sociological change that has led the PP to govern with an absolute majority after almost four decades of socialist hegemony. Some sources suggest that Montero’s intention is to surround himself with all the assets of classic Andalusian socialism. But it remains to be seen whether they want to help, since some of them play a role in the emerging sector. critical who awaits the fall of Pedro Sánchez.
As this newspaper already reported, the Andalusian elections are clue for Moncloa. The President of the Government waits to know the polls as the date approaches to make decisions strategic important. A socialist who knows the demographic machinery like few others explains that “it may be” that the president will launch to press the button for general elections right after if the PP needs Vox, as in Extremadura, Aragón and Castilla y León.
“Another option” is for the socialist leader to call them at the same time to try to deactivate Juanma’s majority in case the polls give him another absolute majority. Andalusia is one of the jewelry of the crown of the Spanish electoral system. And it will completely mark the becoming of a legislature that Sánchez reiterates will end in 2027.