The atmospheric stability and the notable rise in temperatures will mark the next few days, but the scenario will change for the weekend with the arrival of storms in several regions. According to the forecasts of the State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) and Meteored, the unusual heat for the time It will be the trigger for locally intense storm episodes.
During the next few days, the weather will remain stable in most of the country, without significant precipitation beyond light rains in the Cantabrian Sea and some isolated showers in mountain areas. Temperatures will continue to rise clearly, with maximums that will exceeds 25 degrees in large areas of the east, center and south of the peninsula, even reaching between 28 and 30 degrees in cities such as Badajoz and Seville.
This episode is caused by the presence of a subtropical ridge, which will favor values between 5 and 10 degrees above usual for these datess. Even heading into the weekend, thermometers may exceed 30 degrees in the Guadalquivir Valley and approach that figure in other inland regions.
Weather change: heat and instability
From friday the 17ththe atmospheric situation will begin to change. According to Meteored, the heat accumulated on the surface combined with the entry of colder air at altitude will generate a favorable scenario for the formation of storms.
In that sense, Meteored points out that these storms will develop mainly in the north and east of the peninsular, especially in mountainous areas such as the Cantabrian Mountains, the Pyrenees and the Iberian System. From these points, the storm cores may move irregularly towards nearby areas during the afternoon.
The first convective cells will appear in the central hours of the day, reaching their maximum intensity during the afternoon and early evening hoursand.
Most affected areas
According to Meteored, in the north, communities like Galicia, Asturias, Cantabria and the Basque Country record stormy showers, more frequent in the interior. In the east, the interior of Aragon, the Valencian Community and areas of Castilla-La Mancha They also present favorable conditions for these precipitations.
However, experts insist that the distribution will be very uneven: while some areas will barely receive any rain, others could experience intense storms in short periods of time. The storms may be accompanied by strong and locally intense showers, abundant electrical equipment, intense gusts of wind and the possible occasional fall of hail.
Although there is consensus on the increase in instability, experts warn of some uncertainty in the exact evolution of time. Some scenarios also point to a thermal decrease, while others keep the environment warm.