There is no longer coalition in it Moncloa Palace –if there ever was one–. The resignation of the second vice president, Yolanda Díaz, to try to lead the left alliancewhich will appear united in the next general elections, was, in truth, the symbolic signature of the breakup of cohabitation between the PSOE and Sumar. On paper, the two parties will maintain the fiction that will formally oppose until the general elections are held, because all the ministers and the president himself will continue to say that they are part of a “progressive coalition government» in which the two parties have their defined areas.
But reality, almost always, goes the other way. Nothing like him appearance art. In politics it is worth more than anything else. He president’s chief of staff, Diego Rubioyou know it very well. Not by chance, in his doctoral thesis he found justifications for deception in historical writings, such as a 15th century text that states that “simulation and dissimulation are not sins, but rather advantageous and extremely useful techniques to prosper in life.” But don’t be fooled, dear reader. The truth is that Yolanda Díaz has dynamited the strength of her political space in the Council of Ministers because it has taken away the main tool of persuasion of any political project: the future. Humans do not stop being expectation. We all expect something constantly, at some point. And, furthermore, something that fits our desires. The only certainty is that Adding will no longer be Adding. It will be something else, ethereal, indeterminate. And there will not be Vice President Diaz in the front. Nobody knows, in fact, who will be in front, although everyone makes their pools.
When the main reference of the minority partner moves away from the electoral horizon, the government alliance loses shared expectation of the future. The coalition can continue to function formally, but it stops projecting itself as a common political project. The resignation of Yolanda Diaz has further weakened the Sumar’s negotiating capacity against the PSOE. Socialists have been constantly measuring each other’s strength for years. Now that his “colleagues” are in transition or interim, will recentralize the agenda and leadership so that Sánchez governs, de facto, alone. There can no longer be dialogue or internal debate because it is no longer clear who represents that space. AND Yolanda Diaz It has already lost all legitimacy (and credibility), despite continuing to be the “two” of the Executive. But the mess of his goodbye doesn’t end there. His step back was starting signal for the game of thrones. Or dagger dance. You already know that, if the left is good at anything, it is fratricidal war and debate the sex of angels.
He PSOE never took seriously Add. And now that there will be no more Sumar, the socialists allow themselves the luxury of influencing the debate about who should be the new leader of their left. Gabriel Rufian like. And a lot. But that’s another story. all in Moncloa They know that governing in a coalition is like sharing a roof with someone whose inheritance you also intend to dispute. You cooperate out of necessity, but you compete out of instinct. At first, on the honeymoon, the partners share smiles, press conferences and coordinated arguments. But under the table there is always stomping. Political science explains it with academic coldness: shared responsibility versus electoral differentiation. Translated: either you rule together or you prepare to survive the other. And the closer the polls get, the more the volume of nuances, amendments and “this is not exactly what we wanted” increases. He Executive still standingbut the harmony begins to sound forced.
The big one sets the beat and the little one tries not to let the melody be covered up. The problem is that the wear is not distributed proportionally. And the little one discovers that influencing is not the same as leadingand that being in the Government does not guarantee survival outside of it. Breakups, moreover, are almost never announced with a slam of the door. They begin when one of the two thinks about the next campaign. When one’s leadership enters transition and the other takes note. Only Sánchez remains.