A new trough could bring torrential rains to the Mediterranean from Thursday

The week has begun with an unusually warm atmosphere for this time of the year in much of Spain, with temperatures between 5 and 10 degrees above normal, according to the prediction of the spokesman of the State Meteorology Agency (Aemet). However, as of Thursday a Radical change of time, with a generalized thermal descent and rains that could be very intense to the Mediterranean area and the Balearic Islands.

Rubén del Campo, spokesman for the AEMET, explained that the stable and dry time will predominate, except for the middle of the week Some rainfall that will be limited to the northern end of the peninsula and points of the southeastalthough on Wednesday there could be storms inside. Temperatures will reach summer values ​​with maximums that will exceed 32 degrees and even 34 in the Guadalquivir Valley.

This Tuesday an anticyclonic time is expected throughout the country. Temperatures will continue to rise especially in the north and east of the Peninsula. So, The 25ºC will be exceeded in large areas of the Peninsula and the 30ºC in the Valleys of the Tajo, Guadiana and Guadalquivir.

Wednesday begins the changes. Cloudiness will increase in the northeast with rains in Galicia and the Cantabrian. Inside peninsular, instability could lead to Locally strong storms, although there is still uncertainty about its exact location. Nor are shocks in points of the Mediterranean interior.

Temperatures will be lower at the north end and will be in a slight decrease in the rest. In the Cantabrian, they will remain at around 20-22ºC of maximum temperature, although in the Guadalquivir they will still be around 30-32ºC.

The rain comes to the Mediterranean and temperatures lower

On Thursday there will be a “more important” time change, according to the spokesman. The combination of a trough and wet winds on surface, will cause an increase in atmospheric instability, mainly on the peninsular Mediterranean slope and in the Balearic Islands. They are foreseen strong or locally very strong rainfall in those areas, especially in coastal areass. This rainy episode could be extended until Saturday, although with less intensity. Temperatures will fall generalized, being more consistent with the usual for the month of October.

Intense rains in the Gulf of Valencia: up to 100 l/m²

For its part, the Eltiempo.es weather portal indicates the possibility of a Episode of very intense rainfall from Friday, especially in the surroundings of the Gulf of Valenciawhere they could be achieved or even exceed 100 liters per square meter. According to forecasts, rainfall will tend to progressively move south, affecting the Valencian Community, Andalusia, the southeast of Castilla-La Mancha, Catalonia and Balearic Islands.

From that moment on, weather uncertainty increases, although everything indicates that the rain situation It could be extended during the weekend, with special incidence in the Mediterranean area. Among the most affected areas, it is expected that Catalonia, Balearic Islands and, again, the Valencian Community register important accumulated. In particular, the Gulf of Valencia could concentrate the highest precipitation volumes. However, Eltiempo.es warns that the most affected specific places will ultimately depend on the evolution of the trough and the direction and intensity of the winds.