There are many examples that precede Extremadura. Regional presidents who press the nuclear button to overcome a political blockade and/or improve their electoral prospects. The Community of Madrid in 2021. Castilla y León and Andalusia in 2022, the two sides of the coin. Now, Maria Guardiola does the same with a propitious story: the “no” of the PSOE and Vox to the regional accounts, for the second consecutive year, the threshold that Alberto Núñez Feijóo has set to dissolve the Cortes in Spain.
Because, there is a risk, which expressed Mariano Rajoy to a popular president: “People don’t like that you look like you’re taking advantage.” That is to say, the message cannot, nor should it, get through that the polls obey a party strategy, but rather bring a more than justified cause for the interests of the region.
“The key is whether the people there understand it, who they hold responsible for the dissolution,” popular sources point out to LA RAZÓN. «People don’t like having responsibilities thrown at them. “They will punish whoever they believe is responsible for it.” To this end, the truth is that the Extremaduran legislature was, like the national one, in a stalemate. The Board did not have the capacity to carry out even the most basic regulations, such as public accounts.
Since the breakup of the regional governments last year, the understanding between Guardiola and his former partners has been disastrous. No matter how much they have tried to redirect relations, there has been no way. An almost personal issue that, in the future, makes the PP’s commitment more expensive. Because, if the polls conducted by the popular party are met, victory is assured, with a wide margin and undoubted improvement. Needless to say, in the previous meeting, the party did not even achieve first place. There was a tie in seats and the then president and candidate was slightly ahead in votes, Guillermo Fernández Vara.
Now, no study predicts the absolute, so it is possible that everything is for nothing. The investiture would continue to be in the hands of Vox and governance, too. Even with a “sufficient majority”, which would reduce the green party’s support for abstention, it would maintain its essential status.
A scenario in which the PP still does not think. As they say: “When we get to that river…” Aware that one of the weak points, where they almost always choke, is the management of expectations, the popular ones are careful not to talk too much about future prospects or to set the goal too far away. Win, win and win. Nothing else. And nothing less. In one of those that was once the undisputed fortress of the left and in what will be the first electoral event of the new political cycle in Spain.
The other big objective, of course, is to contain Vox, which could grow, but with a much lower percentage than the PP. Abascal’s party suffers from a lack of territorial implementation and little roots among voters. If the horizon painted by demoscopy is consolidated, Guardiola’s strategy, in collusion with Genoa, would end in triumph. Now, there are risks. they know it Alfonso Fernández Mañueco and Juanma Morenowho look expectantly at their fellow ranks. “If it goes well, it will go well for us,” they say in their surroundings, where they know that what happens in Extremadura, in some way, will decide the future of the next electoral events. Actually, Feijóo Look for a domino effect in which the last piece to fall is Moncloa. And the beginning is decisive. There can be no misstep.
For now, the first big point in favor that the PP sells about the Extremaduran call is the message. The other side of the blockade in Spain. With a Sánchez who refuses to give a voice to the Spanish people despite not having any Budget for the current mandate, nor parliamentary support. After halfway through a legislature that was born with the sole desire to approve an amnesty for those responsible for the “procés.” And period. Guardiola has set an example. Also for your colleagues. In this regard, there is unanimity in the PP: Azconwarm up as you go out.